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10 NBA Players Most Likely To Average Over 30 PPG This Season

Looking at the superstars that could average over the 30-point mark this season.

In the 2022-23 NBA season, fans were treated to an electrifying display of offensive prowess as six extraordinary players soared above the 30-points-per-game mark. This unprecedented achievement marked a significant milestone in the league’s history, demonstrating the incredible scoring talent that graces the hardwood. However, as the 2023-24 season looms on the horizon, the tantalizing prospect of something even more remarkable has emerged.

The dynamics of the NBA have been shifting, with a clear trend favoring offense over defense. This evolution has been driven by various factors, including rule changes, the emphasis on three-point shooting, and the introduction of new offensive strategies. The result is a league where high-scoring games have become the norm, and players have been redefining what it means to be an elite scorer.

10. Anthony Davis

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In the 2022-23 NBA season, Anthony Davis came close but didn’t quite hit the 30 points per game mark, averaging 25.9 PPG. However, he remains a perennial scoring threat and a crucial part of the Los Angeles Lakers’ roster. Davis is known for his versatility, capable of scoring inside and outside, and he’s a significant presence on both ends of the court. Here’s why Anthony Davis could make a run for averaging over 30 PPG in the 2023-24 season.

One key factor is health. Injuries have plagued Davis throughout his career, and staying injury-free will be paramount for him to reach the 30 PPG milestone. A full offseason of recovery and conditioning could improve his chances.

Another factor to consider is his role within the Lakers’ offense. The departure of other star players or adjustments to the offensive scheme could potentially lead to more scoring opportunities for Davis. If the Lakers rely heavily on him for scoring, he could be in a prime position to increase his PPG.

Additionally, Anthony Davis has been steadily expanding his three-point shooting. If he can maintain or improve his accuracy from beyond the arc, it would significantly contribute to his scoring output. The threat of his long-range shot would force defenders to close out on him, providing opportunities for drives to the basket and mid-range jumpers.

As for defense, it’s possible that the Lakers may need Davis to focus more on the offensive end due to a lack of depth or changes in team strategy. This shift in priorities towards scoring might further enhance his chances of averaging over 30 PPG.

9. Zion Williamson

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Zion Williamson is a name synonymous with scoring dominance in the NBA. His 26.0 PPG average in the 2022-23 season showcases his ability to bulldoze his way to the basket and score effectively in the paint. To reach the 30 PPG mark in the upcoming season, a few critical factors come into play.

First and foremost is Zion’s health. Injuries have disrupted his young career, and staying injury-free is a key prerequisite for achieving this scoring milestone. If he can maintain his health, he’ll have a significant advantage.

Another factor is his evolution as a scorer. Williamson has primarily been an inside scorer, but expanding his range, particularly in terms of mid-range jumpers and three-point shooting, could make him a more well-rounded offensive threat. This expansion of his scoring arsenal would make it tougher for defenses to predict and defend against his scoring.

Additionally, the New Orleans Pelicans’ offensive scheme and the talent around him will play a crucial role. If the team can create a system that maximizes Williamson’s scoring potential, it would be a significant boost. Teammates who can stretch the floor, providing spacing for him to attack the basket, will be essential.

It’s also worth considering that Williamson’s role as the primary scoring option may increase. If the Pelicans lean heavily on him as their go-to scorer, he’ll have more opportunities to put up points.

8. Trae Young

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Trae Young, the Atlanta Hawks’ dynamic point guard, is already known for his scoring prowess. Averaging 26.2 PPG in the 2022-23 season, Young is poised to take another step forward in his scoring journey. Here are the key factors that could help him reach the 30 PPG milestone in the upcoming season.

One crucial aspect is Young’s ability to shoot from deep. He’s a superb three-point shooter and an exceptional playmaker. If the Hawks’ offense continues to revolve around his scoring and passing, he’ll have ample opportunities to put up points.

The development of his mid-range game could also play a pivotal role. Adding this dimension to his offensive repertoire would make him even harder to defend, as defenders would need to respect his shot from all areas of the court.

Additionally, the composition of the Hawks’ roster is essential. If Atlanta can count on their players who can space the floor and complement Young’s s𝓀𝒾𝓁𝓁s, it would create a more conducive environment for him to reach the 30 PPG mark.

Health will be a critical factor. Staying injury-free and maintaining peak physical condition is essential for any player to consistently score at such a high level.

7. Devin Booker

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Devin Booker, a key figure in the Phoenix Suns’ resurgence, has consistently improved his scoring ability. Averaging 27.8 PPG in the 2022-23 season, Booker is undoubtedly one of the top candidates to reach the 30 PPG mark in the upcoming season. Here’s an analysis of the factors that could contribute to his scoring success.

One significant factor is his proficiency in scoring from various areas of the court. Booker is a capable three-point shooter, mid-range assassin, and a crafty finisher at the rim. His diverse scoring repertoire allows him to score consistently and efficiently.

The Suns’ offensive system, which revolves around ball movement and player movement, provides Booker with numerous scoring opportunities. If the team continues to run an offense that maximizes his strengths, he’s in an excellent position to average over 30 PPG.

The presence of a second scoring option like Kevin Durant or Bradley Beal can also impact Booker’s chances. Because the Suns have two other players who demand defensive attention, it can create more one-on-one opportunities for him. Maintaining a balance between scoring and facilitating for his teammates will be key.

6. Damian Lillard

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In a surprising turn of events, Damian Lillard has found himself as part of the Milwaukee Bucks for the 2023-24 season, joining forces with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. Lillard’s incredible scoring ability, as showcased by his 32.2 PPG average in the 2022-23 season, now takes on an even more formidable dimension alongside his new superstar teammates. Here’s an analysis of how this blockbuster trade could impact Lillard’s quest to average over 30 PPG in the upcoming season.

The Bucks’ offensive scheme and Lillard’s role within it will be pivotal. Milwaukee’s system, known for ball movement and spacing, should play to Lillard’s strengths. He can create his shot in isolation or capitalize on open looks created by the attention drawn by Antetokounmpo and Middleton. Lillard, with his deep three-point shooting and scoring ability, is now part of a lineup that boasts multiple offensive threats.

The synergy between Lillard, Giannis, and Middleton will be crucial. If they develop chemistry and an understanding of each other’s playing styles, it can lead to a more efficient and potent offense. Lillard’s playmaking ability should also come into play, as he can both score and facilitate for his new teammates.

5. Jayson Tatum

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Jayson Tatum, the rising star of the Boston Celtics, achieved a significant milestone in the 2022-23 season by averaging 30.1 PPG. This accomplishment puts him firmly in the conversation for a 30 PPG season in the upcoming year. Let’s analyze the factors that could contribute to his scoring success.

Tatum’s scoring versatility is one of his most significant assets. He can score from all areas of the court, including three-pointers, mid-range jumpers, and strong finishes at the rim. This versatility makes him a constant threat and a prime candidate to remain above the 30 PPG threshold.

The role of Tatum within the Celtics’ offensive scheme is vital. If he continues to be the primary scoring option and the focal point of the team’s attack, it would create more opportunities for him to put up points.

The development of his playmaking s𝓀𝒾𝓁𝓁s is another factor to consider. If Tatum can enhance his ability to create for teammates, it might lead to more open shots for himself as well. Effective passing can help diversify his offensive game.

Every NBA Team’s Best Player For The 2023-24 SeasonRead More4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a breakout season in 2022-23, averaging an impressive 31.4 PPG. To continue his scoring success and potentially achieve 30 PPG in the upcoming season, several key factors come into play.

One of Gilgeous-Alexander’s strengths is his ability to score in a variety of ways. He can drive to the basket, hit mid-range jumpers, and connect on three-pointers. His versatility makes it challenging for defenders to predict and contain his scoring.

The role he plays within the Oklahoma City Thunder’s offense will be crucial. As he remains the primary scoring option and continues to lead the team in shot attempts, he’ll have an excellent chance to maintain his high-scoring output.

The Thunder’s roster composition is also significant. Surrounding Gilgeous-Alexander with players who can space the floor and provide scoring options can create more opportunities for him. Teammates who can draw defensive attention will open up driving lanes and create open shots. Josh Giddey as a facilitator, and Chet Holmgren as a pick-and-roll threat, will improve Shai’s chances of keeping his high average.

3. Joel Embiid

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Joel Embiid, the Philadelphia 76ers’ dominant center, had a phenomenal season in 2022-23, averaging a staggering 33.1 PPG. His scoring ability and versatility make him a prime candidate to achieve 30 PPG once again in the upcoming season. Here’s an analysis of the factors that could contribute to his scoring success.

One of Embiid’s standout features is his inside scoring. He can dominate in the paint, and his post moves make him nearly unstoppable one-on-one. This inside scoring threat allows him to consistently put up points.

Embiid’s proficiency at drawing fouls and getting to the free-throw line is another scoring weapon. If he can maintain or improve his free-throw accuracy, it would significantly boost his PPG.

The composition of the 76ers’ roster is essential. Embiid will have shooters and playmakers that can create more scoring opportunities for him. Spacing the floor with three-point threats will make it more challenging for defenders to double-team him and with improvements to the roster, Philadelphia will look more for Joel’s offensive game.

Health is a crucial factor for Embiid. Staying injury-free is paramount, as injuries can disrupt his rhythm and availability. Maintaining his physical condition will be key.

From a defensive perspective, it’s possible that the 76ers may allow Embiid to focus more on his offense if they can become a more disciplined defensive team after acquiring Patrick Beverley and another season with PJ Tucker. This potential shift in priorities toward scoring could further enhance his chances of averaging over 30 PPG.

2. Luka Doncic

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Luka Doncic is one of the most promising young stars in the NBA, and his scoring ability is a significant part of his game. In the 2022-23 season, he averaged an impressive 32.4 PPG, putting him in prime position to achieve 30 PPG once again in the upcoming season. Here’s an analysis of the factors that could contribute to his scoring success.

One of Doncic’s most outstanding qualities is his playmaking. His combination of scoring and facilitating for his teammates creates numerous scoring opportunities. If he can continue to strike the right balance between scoring and passing, it will enhance his chances of staying above 30 PPG.

Doncic’s three-point shooting and mid-range game are also essential elements of his scoring repertoire. If he can maintain or improve his accuracy from beyond the arc and in the mid-range, it will make him a more well-rounded scorer and harder to defend.

The composition of the Dallas Mavericks’ roster will play a significant role. Surrounding Doncic with shooters and complementary players can create more scoring opportunities. Teammates who can stretch the floor and space the court will open up driving lanes and create open shots. With Kyrie Irving in the roster, Luka should find even more open shots in the flow of the game.

Health is a critical factor for any player, and Doncic needs to stay injury-free to maintain his scoring consistency. Injuries can disrupt a player’s rhythm and availability.

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo

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Giannis Antetokounmpo, the two-time NBA regular season MVP, showcased his scoring prowess with an average of 31.1 PPG in the 2022-23 season. His combination of athleticism, versatility, and dominance makes him a prime candidate to remain above 30 PPG in the upcoming season. Here’s an analysis of the factors that could contribute to his scoring success.

One of Giannis’s standout attributes is his ability to score in transition. His speed and agility for a player of his size allow him to excel in fast-break situations. If the Milwaukee Bucks continue to emphasize a fast-paced style of play, it will lead to more scoring opportunities for him.

Giannis’s inside scoring is another strength. He can finish around the rim with authority and draw fouls. If he maintains or improves his free-throw shooting, it would add to his scoring output.

The Bucks’ offensive system, which features ball movement and spacing, plays to Giannis’s strengths. If they continue to run an offense that maximizes his s𝓀𝒾𝓁𝓁s, he’ll be in an excellent position to average over 30 PPG.

The presence of other scoring options such as Damian Lillard or Khris Middleton on the Bucks can also impact Giannis’s chances. If Milwaukee has players who can complement his s𝓀𝒾𝓁𝓁s and draw defensive attention, it will open up opportunities for him. With an All-NBA talent like Dame behind him, The Greek Freak should also find a more dominant approach to the game.

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